Writing my summary of Evidence, Decision, and Causality, I got interested in how EDT might be able to succeed by precommitting, and how different simulation schemes that a predictor might run of the transparent Newcomb’s problem might affect the way EDT and CDT reason about the problem. Precommitments hinge on an aspect of sophisticated choice that I haven’t been able to find information on. Indexical (or anthropic) uncertainty seems to do the trick unambiguously. Be warned that these things were probably only new to me, so if you know some decision theory you may end up bored, and I wouldn’t want that.

Personal thoughts on the idea of the dream time and the related idea of slack, which describe environments with relatively low competitive pressures.

Personal thoughts on the article “Effective Altruism and Free Riding” by Scott Behmer.

Personal thoughts on the article “If you value future people, why do you consider near term effects?” by Alex Holness-Tofts.