FZIuv5fY6VMgpLa7fWNr8A==;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;^
Covid-19 Costs
A Guesstimate to convert microcovids to dollars. Microcovid.org is the best calculator of Covid-19 risk that I’m aware of, but the microcovids that it returns are unintuitive for me. Peter Hurford’s spreadsheet converts risks to dollars, which are very intuitive for me. My Guesstimate is a probabilistic version of the lower part of that spreadsheet but also includes risk from long-term damage. The Guesstimate allows you to plug in the microcovids range and get a dollar result. The article is password protected because I’m afraid I made mistakes that might kill people (not because it’s old, yet).
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