Jpmr6q2av8vwwxDIXEo7qQ==;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;^
Covid-19 Costs
A Guesstimate to convert microcovids to dollars. Microcovid.org is the best calculator of Covid-19 risk that I’m aware of, but the microcovids that it returns are unintuitive for me. Peter Hurford’s spreadsheet converts risks to dollars, which are very intuitive for me. My Guesstimate is a probabilistic version of the lower part of that spreadsheet but also includes risk from long-term damage. The Guesstimate allows you to plug in the microcovids range and get a dollar result. The article is password protected because I’m afraid I made mistakes that might kill people (not because it’s old, yet).
Comments
comments powered by Disqus